Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005331 0.005627 0.005934 0.006276 0.006646 0.007037 0.007481
2026-01-25 0.004792 0.005219 0.005681 0.006222 0.006839 0.007527 0.008356
2026-02-01 0.004558 0.005074 0.005650 0.006346 0.007173 0.008133 0.009345
2026-02-08 0.004304 0.004869 0.005516 0.006319 0.007303 0.008483 0.010030
2026-02-15 0.004109 0.004712 0.005418 0.006314 0.007441 0.008833 0.010723
2026-02-22 0.003902 0.004525 0.005266 0.006226 0.007458 0.009021 0.011207
2026-03-01 0.003725 0.004363 0.005132 0.006146 0.007474 0.009198 0.011677
2026-03-08 0.003603 0.004260 0.005064 0.006141 0.007580 0.009492 0.012322
2026-03-15 0.003413 0.004063 0.004866 0.005955 0.007432 0.009427 0.012446
2026-03-22 0.003329 0.003995 0.004829 0.005976 0.007560 0.009747 0.013145
2026-03-29 0.003272 0.003959 0.004829 0.006045 0.007755 0.010168 0.014027
2026-04-05 0.003170 0.003859 0.004742 0.005990 0.007769 0.010325 0.014508
2026-04-12 0.003088 0.003785 0.004686 0.005975 0.007843 0.010577 0.015168
2026-04-19 0.002998 0.003696 0.004607 0.005924 0.007860 0.010743 0.015700
2026-04-26 0.002974 0.003694 0.004645 0.006040 0.008127 0.011310 0.016954
2026-05-03 0.002902 0.003625 0.004588 0.006015 0.008180 0.011538 0.017640
2026-05-10 0.002842 0.003570 0.004546 0.006011 0.008262 0.011817 0.018440
2026-05-17 0.002760 0.003480 0.004455 0.005928 0.008217 0.011882 0.018849
2026-05-24 0.002684 0.003399 0.004372 0.005854 0.008181 0.011959 0.019284
2026-05-31 0.002635 0.003352 0.004336 0.005849 0.008254 0.012225 0.020109
2026-06-07 0.002535 0.003233 0.004193 0.005676 0.008047 0.011994 0.019922
2026-06-14 0.002499 0.003202 0.004176 0.005696 0.008156 0.012320 0.020896
2026-06-21 0.002478 0.003192 0.004189 0.005760 0.008340 0.012792 0.022229